Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.087406 0.101268 0.116404 0.134129 0.154289 0.176473 0.202705
2025-01-19 0.065711 0.083927 0.105595 0.133152 0.167136 0.207539 0.259062
2025-01-26 0.054717 0.076069 0.103413 0.140713 0.189944 0.252330 0.336947
2025-02-02 0.046398 0.069578 0.101270 0.147237 0.211574 0.297675 0.420710
2025-02-09 0.036992 0.059593 0.092449 0.142902 0.217425 0.322230 0.479195
2025-02-16 0.030706 0.052815 0.086798 0.141724 0.226840 0.351888 0.547024
2025-02-23 0.025275 0.046271 0.080290 0.137979 0.231445 0.374399 0.606010
2025-03-02 0.021153 0.041072 0.074979 0.135104 0.236594 0.397640 0.667614
2025-03-09 0.018532 0.037977 0.072602 0.136525 0.248473 0.432028 0.749170
2025-03-16 0.015583 0.033726 0.067529 0.132504 0.250519 0.450370 0.806035
2025-03-23 0.014423 0.032711 0.068126 0.138560 0.270475 0.499973 0.918565
2025-03-30 0.012929 0.030746 0.066619 0.140442 0.282990 0.537698 1.013670
2025-04-06 0.011054 0.027686 0.062616 0.137196 0.285994 0.559543 1.084032
2025-04-13 0.009599 0.025282 0.059593 0.135486 0.291701 0.586738 1.166318
2025-04-20 0.009078 0.024951 0.060895 0.142794 0.315812 0.649978 1.319714
2025-04-27 0.008527 0.024448 0.061740 0.149211 0.338734 0.712799 1.477140
2025-05-04 0.007303 0.022002 0.057824 0.144727 0.338605 0.730927 1.550539
2025-05-11 0.006448 0.020351 0.055504 0.143488 0.345136 0.762607 1.652583
2025-05-18 0.005570 0.018446 0.052269 0.139677 0.345584 0.781879 1.731213
2025-05-25 0.004856 0.016857 0.049568 0.136758 0.347639 0.804491 1.818109
2025-06-01 0.004425 0.016023 0.048693 0.138190 0.359740 0.849130 1.953594
2025-06-08 0.003825 0.014525 0.045799 0.134120 0.358468 0.864792 2.029091
2025-06-15 0.003666 0.014431 0.046778 0.140243 0.382258 0.937234 2.231238